Since November of last year, I have been keeping an admittedly nerdy and obsessive journal of poll numbers in some of the most contested Senate and gubernatorial races. Today, while looking over the Rasmussen poll for Minnesota's Senate race, I noticed a trend developing. The MSM has spilled much ink on articles claiming that GOP candidates are afraid of Bush's low poll numbers so they are trying to distance themselves from him. Then they go on to name pretty much the same usual suspects: Steele in MD, Kennedy in MN, DeWine in OH and Chafee in RI. Well, if you look at these fellas numbers since they have been declaring themselves "independent" thinkers who aren't tied to Bush or the GOP, they have all been falling. Steele is now losing handily to Cardin and slightly to Mfume; Kennedy's latest poll numbers have him 12 points behind Klobacher; DeWine is losing to Sherrod Brown (who is awful, just awful so all blame for DeWine's loss will lie squarely on his own diminutive shoulders); and Whitehouse is beating Chafee as well as more talk lately (in National Review and Washignton Post [yes, Post, not Times] among others) of Laffey actually beating Chaffee in the primary.
Meanwhile, in two other contested races, the GOP candidates are touting their conservative credentials - and to their benefit. Santorum is closing the gap against Casey; and Corker has a lead over Ford in Tennessee. I submit that GOP candidates do themselves harm by severing ties with Bush. Meanwhile, Bush continues to raise money for all GOP candidates at an impressive clip - even the aforementioned ingrates.
Well, after the November elections, one thing is for sure: Bush will still be in office in Washington DC. Can the same be said for DeWine and Chaffee?
BORU
Unless the majority is down to one seat, I would prefer that Chafee just lose and lose now. There is no more need for a false Republican like him. I would almost prefer that the seat went to a Democrat than Mr. Chafee.
Posted by: Matthew | 08 August 2006 at 01:47 PM
"I would almost prefer the seat went to a Democrat than Mr. Chafee."
Isn't that kinda like saying I like to wear blue shirts except when I am wearing shirts that are blue?
Posted by: Brian | 10 August 2006 at 04:37 PM